False Positives
The system errs on the side of caution. When your machine attempts to connect to a remote site and fails, sometimes this alert will trigger. Carefully watch the source of the attack in case it is your own machine.
The system triggers on any failed connection. Some web-sites will attempt to contact your machine. For example, chat servers, FTP servers, and multimedia servers (video, audio) often open connections directed at your machine. If the firewall settings block this, then these will be reported as port probes.
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